Market Timing and Predictability in FX Markets

Models of Fx Markets

Trading volumes, volatility and spreads in FX markets: evidence from emerging market countries

This paper provides empirical evidence on the relationship between trading volumes, volatility and bidask spreads in foreign exchange markets. It uses a new data set that includes daily data on trading volumes for the dollar exchange rates of seven currencies from emerging market countries. The sample period is 1 January 1998 to 30 June 1999. The results are broadly consistent with the findings...

Origins of scaling in FX markets

Typical data sets employed by economists and financial analysts do not exceed a few hundred or thousand observations per series. However, in the last decade data sets containing tick-by-tick observations have become available. The studies of these data have turned up new and interesting facts about the pricing of assets. In this article we show that foreign exchange (FX) rate returns satisfy sc...

Periodicities of FX Markets in Intrinsic Time

This paper utilises advanced methods from Fourier Analysis in order to describe financial ultra-high frequent transaction data. The Lomb-Scargle Fourier Transform is used to take into account the irregularity in spacing in the time-domain. It provides a natural framework for the power spectra of different inhomogeneous time series processes to be easily and quickly estimated, without significan...

Stock returns predictability and the adaptive market hypothesis in emerging markets: evidence from India

ABSTRACT This study addresses the question of whether the adaptive market hypothesis provides a better description of the behaviour of emerging stock market like India. We employed linear and nonlinear methods to evaluate the hypothesis empirically. The linear tests show a cyclical pattern in linear dependence suggesting that the Indian stock market switched between periods of efficiency and in...